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My reads from last year remain intact: Biden thinks it's 1976 & has an actively bad campaign; Buttigieg has no path to victory in the general; Warren is awesome but Sanders still reigns supreme in her target demo _and_ she's not getting any crossover from mainstream Dems (yet).

Sanders turns out more youth and crossover working-class votes than anyone else. The question is whether he'll get mainstream support.

My hope is that anti-Trump sentiment is strong enough the Dems will show regardless.

For my part, I'll vote for whomever seems not to be a fascist. That's not good enough for many, though, and the Dems need to understand that. (This is why Buttigieg has no path to victory. He's unlikely to inspire turnout in the rust belt states the dems have to win.)

I should caveat the Warren crossover—she's getting crossover from a lot of highly educated mainstream dems. Those will vote for any non-Trump and will vote regardless. Institutional/machine Dems are still actively hostile.

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